James Carrick

Global economist

James Carrick
James is a global economist with a knack for using analogies to explain economic concepts. He is a techno-optimist and an early adopter. He enjoys building models - both of the economy and robot Lego ones with his son. He also likes crunching data and chocolate bars. He joined in 2006 from the number-one ranked economics team at ABN AMRO with prior experience at HM Treasury.

Other articles by James Carrick

Chart of the month: Is the US economy about to stall?
James Carrick
Economics

Chart of the month: Is the US economy about to stall?

The Sahm rule has been triggered by rising unemployment, signalling a potential recession ahead f...
By James Carrick
16 Aug 2024
2 min read
The Bank of England has eased the brakes. What happens next?
James Carrick
Markets and economics

The Bank of England has eased the brakes. What happens next?

In a 'finely balanced' decision, the UK's Monetary Policy Committee has cut rates for the first...
By James Carrick
05 Aug 2024
3 min read
UK election: Implications for investors
Markets and economics

UK election: Implications for investors

We weigh what the Labour win means for the macro outlook and what the vote tells us about...
By Sonja LaudChristopher JefferyJames Carrick
05 Jul 2024
2 min read
Is a nasty inflation surprise on the menu?
James Carrick
Economics

Is a nasty inflation surprise on the menu?

Sharp jumps in public rents, utility bills and the living wage could lead to a stickier-than-hope...
By James Carrick
30 Apr 2024
3 min read
BoE gets closer to cutting rates
James Carrick
Markets and economics

BoE gets closer to cutting rates

A surprisingly dovish vote suggests the Bank of England will begin its interest-rate descent soon...
By James Carrick
25 Mar 2024
3 min read
UK budget – no surprises and no alarms
James Carrick
Markets and economics

UK budget – no surprises and no alarms

We believe the budget could support growth and reduce headline inflation this year, with the...
By James Carrick
07 Mar 2024
4 min read
When will UK rates start to fall?
James Carrick
Markets and economics

When will UK rates start to fall?

The bank's cautious messaging following its decision to keep rates at 5.25% suggests we may not s...
By James Carrick
05 Feb 2024
2 min read
An economist’s guide to Red Sea risks
James Carrick
Economics

An economist’s guide to Red Sea risks

The recent attacks in the Red Sea are likely to disrupt the quantity as well as prices of importe...
By James Carrick
22 Jan 2024
4 min read
Autumn Statement surprise?
Markets and economics

Autumn Statement surprise?

The Chancellor delivered a modest surprise last week, using increased fiscal headroom to deliver...
By Josefine UrbanJames Carrick
27 Nov 2023
3 min read

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